Opinions and Math.

Lefty007

Shared on Mon, 10/20/2008 - 11:20

The following two article are posted on Reuters at the same time in their most popular articles.

Obama opns 6- point lead over McCain. www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSTRE49J0LF20081020

Followed by Obama's Lead slips to 3-Points. www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSTRE49G0V320081019

The best part of these two different articles is that they are using the same poll. With a plus minus of 2.9 Percentage points. There is your 3 point swing right there. What I have yet to understand is how do you get a plus minus on a question that has to possible answers. A or B? Do we not trust the people taking the poll, the poll-giver and or the poll taker? Or maybe we just need some leeway to slant the number in favor of what I want you to believe.

 

They same person quotes used as positives for both sides...

1.

"Obama has really consolidated his base, and now has huge leads among young people, African-Americans and Hispanics," said pollster John Zogby.

"Reaching 50 percent puts him in winning territory."

2.

Pollster John Zogby said the numbers were good news for McCain, and probably reflected a bump following his appearance in the third and final presidential debate on Wednesday.

"For the first time in the polling McCain is up above 45 percent. There is no question something has happened," Zogby said.

 

Talk about playing both side of the fence.

 

 

Comments

CarterDavidov's picture
Submitted by CarterDavidov on Mon, 10/20/2008 - 11:48
Ah the numbers game. I'm assuming the stories were filed by different reporters since I didn't follow the links. I'd be more inclined to blame the writers for interpreting the numbers differently than the pollsters for presenting them. Zogby, himself, is simply responding to different questions asked by those reporters.
Armorsmith76's picture
Submitted by Armorsmith76 on Mon, 10/20/2008 - 12:20
There are three kinds of lies. Lies, damn lies and statistics. =)

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